Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
21%
chance
$15m Vol.
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
17%
chance
$6m Vol.

$1m Vol.
January 16
23%
44%
March 31
64%
June 30
70%
$10m Vol.
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
32%
chance
$7m Vol.
Super Bowl Champion 2026
Seattle
22%
21%
15%
New England
13%
10%
$669m Vol.
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
8%
12%
$167k Vol.
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
12%
chance
$12k Vol.
Portugal Presidential Election
João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
32%
18%
André Ventura (CH)
5%
$98m Vol.
US strike on Mexico by...?
March 30
6%
$772k Vol.
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
29%
chance
$230k Vol.
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
27%
chance
$2m Vol.
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
42%
$170m Vol.
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
72%
chance
$279k Vol.
99%
>$5m
98%
>$6m
94%
88%
>$8m
75%
$4m Vol.
Fed decision in January?
50+ bps decrease
<1%
95%
<1%
$264m Vol.
Presidential Election Winner 2028
29%
20%
Marco Rubio
10%
8%
4%
$181m Vol.

50%
20%
Nicolás Maduro
6%
5%
$3m Vol.
Will there be another US government shutdown by March 31?
26%
chance
$2m Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
45%
chance
$6m Vol.
76%
20%
Aston Villa
3%
1%
Newcastle
<1%
Man United
<1%
Brighton
<1%
Nottm Forest
<1%
<1%
Everton
<1%
$165m Vol.
Gavin Newsom
35%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11%
5%
4%
3%
Andy Beshear
2%
2%
Rahm Emanuel
2%
Ro Khanna
2%
$464m Vol.
84,000
100%
86,000
100%
88,000
99%
90,000
91%
27%
94,000
3%
<1%
<1%
<1%
<1%
<1%
$3m Vol.
$14m Vol.
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